Proceedings of the 2018 2nd International Conference on Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Statistics Application (AMMSA 2018)

Session: System Modelling and Simulation Technologies

28 articles
Proceedings Article

Bayesian Subset Selection for Inverse Gauss Regression Models

Yuanying Zhao, Dengke Xu, Liangqiong Jin, Qingqiong Jiang
Inspired by the idea of Kuo and Mallick, Bayesian subset selection for inverse Gauss regression models is studied by Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in this paper. Simulation study and the aerobic fitness data example are employed to demonstrate the proposed methodology.
Proceedings Article

Analysis of Port Handing Capacity Based on X11-ARIMA Model

Lixin Zhang, Cuifang Yang, Zhenqi Fan
The analysis of port handing capacity is of great significance to the construction and planning of the port. Using the data of the last 12 years, X11 method is used to separate the long-term trend. The results show that the port handing capacity tends to increase linearly. We use difference method to...
Proceedings Article

Seasonal Model and Its Application in Short-term Forecasting

Xiangrong Jiang, Liping Xu, Yingying Cui
With economic activity changes periodically as the seasons vary, the time series of macroeconomic data is usually seasonal. This paper is different from the traditional way of proceeding seasonal adjustment before analyzing the macroeconomic time series. Instead, we propose a seasonal prediction model...
Proceedings Article

Modelling Urban Wisdom Growth of Sustainable Development

Zaiqiang Ku, Pei Guo
A model for urban wisdom growth of sustainable development is proposed in this paper. Based on the entropy weight method and the gray relational analysis, we calculate the weight of each index and the correlation coefficient between the indicators, and get the urban intelligent growth indexes andobtain...
Proceedings Article

The Persistence of a Discrete Host-parasitoid Model with Allee Effect and Holling III Functional Response

Yong Ye, Hua Liu, Yumei Wei, Peng Yang, Ming Ma
This paper establishes a host-parasitoid model with Allee effect and Holling III functional response, and discusses the persistent problem of this system. Through computer simulation, the growth rate of is used as the parameter of the bifurcation diagram, and the effect of Allee effect on the dynamic...
Proceedings Article

Stability and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis in a Delayed Gause-type Predator-prey Models

Shuang Guo, Xing Qiao, Dongxia Zhao, Lianguang Jia, Xiuyan Jiang
A class of delayed ratio-dependent Gause-type predator-prey model is considered. Firstly, the eigenvalue problem is studyed for the linearized system at the coexisting equilibrium and a group of sufficient conditions for the existence of Hopf bifurcation are obtained. Secondly, the direction of the Hopf...
Proceedings Article

Study on Face Classification and Modeling Based on the Fit Problem of Respirator for Chinese Adults

Xiaotong Zhou, Xiaoxia Song
To solve the fit problem between the face and the mask in the market, 7 facial indexes related facial masks of 194 adults were measured in this paper. Factor analysis was undertaken and two main factors were chosen. Through counting the relative index, 3 representative body indexes were selected as clustering...
Proceedings Article

Component Data Combination Forecasting Model and Its Application in Prediction and Analysis of Industrial Structure

Lingrong Zhao, Ying Ping, Yuanhong Luo
Composition data represent the relative information of data, not absolute information. The determination and restriction make the analysis of composition data different from other general data, and need to be transformed and re-analyzed first. For a series of chronological data collected, the paper uses...
Proceedings Article

The Global Stability of a Delayed Reaction-Diffusion Predator-Prey Model

Yu Jiang, Huiming Wei, Xiaoli Zhang
In this article, a delayed reaction-diffusion predator-prey model with stage structure is investigated. The global stability of the coexistence states is discussed by the linearization method and the method of upper and lower solutions. Sufficient conditions of the global attractivity of nonnegative...
Proceedings Article

Dynamic Optimization Model of Signal Timings of Exit-lanes for Left-turn Intersections

Kun Yang, Yinzhen Li, Hao Li, Jie Yin
To make use of the space and time resources at the conventional intersections using exit-lanes for left-turn (EFL) effectively, a dynamic signal-timing model for such special intersections was proposed. Firstly, the operator of the optimal period of the main signal lamp was determined by means of calculating...
Proceedings Article

A Bayesian Model about Relationship between Weather and Sales of Medicine for Cold

Ying Yu, Wenwen Yang, Zheng Yang, Jianye Lu
Weather factors affecting the oscillation of the sales of cold medicine, may be various, uncertain and intermittent. A Bayesian model is built in this paper, to analyze the relationship between the weather factors and the sales of cold medicine, and BDE(Bayesian Dirichlet equivalent) score function is...
Proceedings Article

Immune Response Model for Government-Invested Large Projects Risks

Yunfei Hou, Yingying Guo, Wanwan Zhang
Government-Invested large projects are inevitably exposed to various risks. These risks threaten the operation of projects and need to be eliminated timely. Based on the biological immune system, this paper proposes the immune response model to decrease risks in the target project. The innate immune...
Proceedings Article

Frequency Reduction-Based Model Predictive Direct Power Control with Multi-Cost Function

Qinghua Cui, Mian Liao, Zhiling Liao, Zhaoling Chen
Model predictive direct power control (MPDPC) is one of the effective control strategies of the three phase inverter. However, a high sampling frequency is usually needed to realize the quick power tracking, which causes unnecessary switching loss. Frequency reduction-based MPDPC with single-cost function...
Proceedings Article

A Quick Generation Method for Power Grid Graphs and Models in SCADA System

Rongrong Cao
In the large power grid dispatching and control system, the unmanned substations bring a large amount of graph drawing and model input work to the automation maintenance personnel. The complicated work increases the error probability and hidden dangers, and it is difficult to adapt to the development...
Proceedings Article

Gedanken Tests for Correlated Michelson Interferometers One-interferometer tests and two-interferometer tests: the role of cosmologically-implemented models including Poincaré particles

Orchidea Maria Lecian
The features of correlated Michelson interferometers are for describing the analysis of Einsteinian spacetime models, and the quantum geometries pertinent with descriptions of GR compatible with particle Physics. Such apparati allow for the spectral decomposition of fractional Planck-scale displacements...
Proceedings Article

Pedestrian Evacuation with Asymmetrical Exit Based on an Improved Cellular Automata

Nuo Zhu
Simulation of pedestrian evacuation flow from a room with asymmetrical exit layout is presented based on cellular automata (CA) in this paper. Pedestrian moving rules were established, according to two-dimensional cellular automaton Moore neighborhood. The dynamic parameters: Direction-parameter, Empty-parameter...
Proceedings Article

On the Maximum Harary Spectral Radius of Graphs with Given Matching Number

Xin Luo, Wenshui Lin, Zhixi Wu, Linshan Huang, Qi’an Chen
The Harary spectral radius was proved to be able to produce fair QSPR models for the boiling points, molar heat capacities, vaporization enthalpies, refractive indices and densities for C6-C10 alkanes. Hence this structure-descriptor has recently attracted attention of chemists and mathematicians. [Ars...
Proceedings Article

A Face Recognition Method Based on LBP and GMM

Yuwen Song, Qingling Zhang, Xiuquan Xia
This paper proposes a face recognition method based on local binary pattern(LBP) and Gaussian mixture model(GMM). Firstly, combine Uniform Pattern and Rotation Invariant LBP with traditional LBP operator to obtain initial classification data. Then, adopt GMM to classify face textures, and use EM algorithm...
Proceedings Article

Analysis and Evaluation of Development Degree of the Special Township in a Prefecture-level City

Wenrong Jiang, Wenting Shao
As a regional economic and social development model based on the construction of towns, the special township is an innovative structure to effectively solve issues on regional development. However, in the process of promoting the construction of special townships, many places have some tendentious problems...
Proceedings Article

Correlation Analysis of Elevation and the Relief Degree of Land Surface in Henan Province

Kaiguang Zhang, Mingting Ba, Hongling Meng, Yanmin Sun
Elevation and the relief degree of land surface are important factors in describing the regional topographic features. Studying their spatial relationship could further understand the spatial characteristics of the regional topographic distribution. Based on the 30m×30m digital elevation model, this...
Proceedings Article

Study on the Reserve Distribution Model of Light Weapons

Zhen Li, Jian Gao
In view of the lack of pertinence in the weapon equipment maintenance capability evaluation, combining the characteristics of light weapon equipment, the index model of light weapon support capability is established. A variety of mathematical models and methods have been applied to the study of the construction...
Proceedings Article

The Application Study of Park Enterprises Credit Risk Evaluation Based on Euclid Approach Degree of Fuzzy Matter-element Model

Li Zhou, Bisong Liu, Yan Zhao, Xianghua Li
Based on the thorough analysis of the internal and external factors which affects the enterprise credit level, the scientific and systematic evaluation index system was established. By adopting the fuzzy matter-element analytical method which especially suits the multi-index and incompatibility issue,...
Proceedings Article

The Application Study of Enterprise Online Reputation Evaluation Index Based on Comprehensive Evaluation of Fuzzy Matter-element

Li Zhou, Bisong Liu, Zhou Jiang, Cuizhu Meng
Under the background of the development of network economy, enterprise online reputation evaluation and management have become important topics for enterprises. Through research and analysis of enterprise online reputation evaluation models and evaluation indicators, a fuzzy matter-element evaluation...
Proceedings Article

A Modeling and Simulation Method of SiC MOSFET Module

Jinyuan Li, Meiting Cui, Shuai Sun, Yujie Du
In recent years, silicon carbide and other wide band gap semiconductors have become one of the strategic commanding heights in the global high-technology field. As a wide band gap semiconductor, SiC material which can be used to make SiC device is paid much attention in semiconductor and power field...
Proceedings Article

Self-healing Model Construction and Simulation of Power SDH Transmission Network

Jiye Wang, Geng Zhang, Yanan Wang, Xiangzhou Chen, Yang Wang
With the rapid development of Synchronous Digital Hierarchy (SDH) technology, it has been increasingly used in power communication networks. The power communication network has high requirements on the reliability of data transmission, and the self-healing ring has the advantages of automatic fault recovery,...
Proceedings Article

The Influence of Slope Shape on Slope Seismic Stability

Zhaopeng Zhang, Jingshan Bo, Feng Qiao
This paper mainly uses numerical simulation software to study the influence of different slope shapes on the seismic stability of slopes. With building three different numerical models, the safety factor is used to compare the stability of convex, concave and linear slopes under earthquake. The calculation...
Proceedings Article

A Fast Method to Determine Short-circuit Capacity Based on Compensation Impact Factor

Haifeng Li, Xinfu Song, Xinmao Xia, Gang Liang, Yaode Huang, Hongyang Yu
This paper proposes a fast method to determine short-circuit capacity for an AC system, which includes a compensation capacitor, to avoid sub-synchronous resonance (SSR) risk at a system planning stage. Firstly, the compensation impact factor (CIF) is calculated for generators with different short-circuit...
Proceedings Article

The Impacts of Electric Strengths Between AC Buses on Sub-synchronous Resonance

Haifeng Li, Mengke Liao, Xinfu Song, Shaoran Wang, Lin Fu, Hongyang Yu
This paper analyzes relationship between electric strengths and the risk of sub-synchronous resonance (SSR). Firstly, the compensation impact factor (CIF) method is used to replace the process of determining sub-synchronous damping characteristics of an AC system. Then the risk of SSR can be reflected...