Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention

Session: Theory and methodology on crisis response

8 articles
Proceedings Article

Constructing the Training Mode of Public Security Fire Commanders Based on Competency Model

Yi Hou
This paper introduced the competency mode of public security fire commanders, and analyzed the problems existed in the current public security fire commander abilities. Then it proposed the training mode of public security fire commanders based on competency mode. What's more, it also introduced specific...
Proceedings Article

Prediction of Seawater Intrusion in Laizhou Bay Area under Groundwater Pumping Activities

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu
With the rapid development of society and economy in China, the demand for water resource is increasing with industry and agriculture activities. Due to the excessive exploitation of groundwater resource, and global climate change, the seawater intrusion had arisen at some coastal areas in China. In...
Proceedings Article

A Modeling Technology of Aircraft Landing Safety Prediction under the Extreme Weather Conditions in the Future Based on Cloud Theory

Yangjun Wang, Ren Zhang, Shuang Shen, Zhenghua Wu
This paper focus on hazards, vulnerability and prevention ability three aspects to establish a model for evaluating the safety of aircraft take-off and landing, choosing high winds, low cloud and low visibility as the hazards. Among them, the trend of wind speed is obtained directly from the CMIP5 multi-model...
Proceedings Article

Study on Crisis Early-warning of Internet Rumors about Emergencies Based on BP Neural Network

Ying Zhou, Peng Zhang, Yuexin Lan, Haoqing Li
With the emergencies raising a media storm on the internet, it always brings all kinds of internet rumors at the same time, which not only damages the government's image, but also creates great obstacles to dealing with emergencies. Therefore, conducting risk assessments about Internet Rumors in emergencies...
Proceedings Article

Study on Emergency Evacuation System of City Waterlogging Wargaming Rules of Residents

Peng Chen, Jiquan Zhang, Yingyue Sun, Xiaojing Liu, Jiafu Liu
Urban waterlogging disaster is a serious threat to urban residents' life. The research of urban waterlogging disasters residents emergency shelter by wargaming deductive is available to deduce high risk events at low cost, which can assess and find the emergency loophole and improve the level of emergency...
Proceedings Article

Study on the Warning of Giant Jellyfish Disaster in the Coastal Waters of Qingdao

Lingjuan Wu, Tao Bai, Guiyan Liu
In this paper, with reference to emergency response and warning standard of marine ecological disaster such as red tide and green tide, the methods of external giant jellyfish disaster warning in the coastal waters of Qingdao have been studied according to jellyfish species, toxicity, distribution density,...
Proceedings Article

Research on Rapid Assessment of Earthquake Death Toll Based on Neural Network

Haoyu Wu, Xinyan Wu, Hongwei Li, Yong Luo
101 post-1960 fatal earthquakes in China mainland were selected to build a BP neural network model for rapid earthquake fatality estimation. In this model, event time, magnitude, epicenter intensity, population density and the event region were selected as input vectors. While, the fatality was assigned...
Proceedings Article

Evolutionary Game Analysis and Simulations for Intra-Village Conflict of Collective Land Expropriation

Haowen Wang, Qiuxiang Li, Haijun Bao, Yi Peng
With rapid urbanization, the social risk caused by collective land expropriation has been increasing. Land conflict rather than the farmers' burden has been the first important issue affecting social security in rural areas. The existing studies on land conflict pay few attentions to intra-village conflict...