Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention

Session: Dynamic risk analysis and risk management

23 articles
Proceedings Article

Dynamic Risk Analysis on City Waterlogging Disaster Based on Scenario Simulation

Xilei Pang, Chongfu Huang, Yingju Zhang
In the view of systematicness and uncertainty of disaster risk, the paper firstly adopts parameter estimation statistical algorithm, information diffusion model and geographic information space analysis technology to analyze hazard occurrence possibility, affected population vulnerability and rainstorm...
Proceedings Article

Temporal dynamics of vegetation NDVI and its response to drought in Songnen grassland

Qiyun Ma, Jiquan Zhang, Siqin Tong, Zhenhua Dong, Xuehai Nie, Yanan Chen
Based on daily data recorded in 13 weather stations in Songnen grassland over the period 1982 - 2013, temporal variations in drought were investigated using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and characteristics in NDVI were also analyzed using a time series data set of GIMMS...
Proceedings Article

Vegetation NPP Changes in Horqin Sandy Land During 2000-2013

Yinshan Yinshan, Suriguga Bao, Yuhai Bao
Using remote sensing data and ground meteorological station data, we estimated NPP of vegetation during the growing season from 2000 to 2013 in Horqin sandy land under the support of remote sensing and GIS Technology. We analyzed the relations between the annual NPP with climate factors and human activities....
Proceedings Article

Study on the Spatial-Temporal Coupling Relationship between Economic Development and Industrial Water Use in West Liaohe River Basin

Pengda Lin, Zhijun Tong, Jiquan Zhang, Zhenhua Dong, Xiangqian Li
Based on the center-of-gravity model and GIS, a measure of the spatial coupling of economic and industrial water use was obtained. Researching the trajectories, evolution and common characteristics the center-of-gravity of economic and industrial water use of 10 fourF F drainage from 2004 to 2013 in...
Proceedings Article

The Research of the Interactive Relationship Based on the VAR Model between the Prices of Pork, Soybeans and Corn

Siyu Mo, Wen Han
The research of the interactive relationship based on the VAR model between the prices of pork, soybeans and corn in Guizhou, provides reasonable reference to make effective policy of adjusting pork price regularly, and establish the necessary warning system for the production of the pigs. The article...
Proceedings Article

Credit Index Research of Chinese Medicine Market ---Take a Chinese Medicine Market in Chengdu for Example

Binbin Yang, Zongfang Zhou
Drug is a top priority in the people's livelihood and health care.As an important component in our country's drugs work,Chinese medicine industry have resulted in a lot of achievements after 20 years of development. However,there are serious information asymmetry problems in Chinese medicine professional...
Proceedings Article

Progress on the Pest Risk Analysis of China

Jianwei Li, Xiaoyan Zhang, Yibing Liang, Hao Wu
In this paper, a comprehensive review of the entry pest risk analysis of China was conducted on five aspects, such as legal framework, organization structure and management procedures, technical methods, information management, and application of risk analysis. It can be concluded that the pest risk...
Proceedings Article

System design of loss fast evaluation for grassland drought disaster based on RS, GIS and GPS

Qiyun Ma, Jiquan Zhang, Rui Wang, Si Ha, Meng Zhu, Danjun Li
Loss fast evaluation for grassland drought disaster is an important content of grassland natural disaster research. The basic situation and damage of grassland drought disaster in china were introduced in this paper. On that basis, the goal about loss fast evaluation for grassland drought disaster was...
Proceedings Article

Study on Emergency Management System of Dangerous Chemicals Accidents based on the Dynamic Risk

Xuanya Liu, Jingjing Li, Ning Zhou
According to the characteristics and evolution law of dangerous chemicals accidents, based on disaster accident emergency handling requirements, the research on dynamic risk analysis and prediction technology system of dangerous chemicals accidents were carried out based on real-time dynamic information...
Proceedings Article

Analysis of Drought Characteristic in Sunit Prairie Based on Precipitation Anomaly Percentage during 2000-2015

Xiaodong Sun, Guixiang Liu, Yuhai Bao, Xiaode Zhang
According to the monthly precipitation data collected from three meteorological stations in Xilingol League from 2000 to 2015, annual and seasonal drought features in Sunit prairie for 16 years were detailed analysis by using precipitation anomaly percentage from the drought frequency and the changing...
Proceedings Article

Risk Analysis of Water Masses Degeneration in the Northern Gulf

Ye Yuan, Peinan Zheng, Zhouwen Xiao, Zhicheng Mao
Through the analysis of historical data show that climate change and precipitation is the basic reason of Northern Gulf water properties. Analysis of temperature and salinity in the East and west of the Straits of the Joan Strait shows that the northern Bay maintains the characteristics of temperature...
Proceedings Article

Spatiotemporal Variations of Drought in Inner Mongolia over the Past 50 years Based on SPEI

Siqin Tong, Jiquan Zhang, Quan Lai, Rina Wu
The Standardized Precipitation Evapotran- spiration Index (SPEI) was used as the indicator of drought, calculating the monthly precipitation and monthly mean temperature among the 109 weather stations in Inner Mongolia from 1961 to 2010 to obtain the SPEI value of each site at the time scale of 12 month....
Proceedings Article

Evolvement Characters of Aeolian Desertification of Horqin Sandy Land in the Past 34 Years-A Case Study of Naiman Banner

Yongfang Wang, Jiquan Zhang, Enliang Guo, Zhenhua Dong
We interpreted of Landsat TM remote sensing images of 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2013 of Naiman Banner and obtained the different degrees of desertified land area in different times. The results show that the aeolian desertification in Naiman Banner experienced a process of reversion, development and reversion...
Proceedings Article

Research on Desertification Information Translation and Dynamic Change: A Case of Xilinguole League

Chunlan Li, Richa Hu, Shan Yin, Ren Bu, Yuhai Bao, Yuwei Li, A. Latengtuya, Huijuan Bao
In this study, remote sensing and 3S technology, combination of field investigation and field recording were used to extract the information of desertification and analyze the dynamic changes of land desertification in Xilinguole League, trying to find out the characteristic desertification change of...
Proceedings Article

Remote Sensing Monitoring of Soil Moisture Content in Xilin River Basin

Hongbo Yu, Qiaofeng Zhang
The study area is the Xilin River basin. Remote sensing approach was used to retrieve soil moisture content based on the surface water capacity index by using MODIS images from July 2000 to July 2012. This can reflect the scope, extent and development of the drought in the study area in a timely and...
Proceedings Article

Effects of Land Use Change on Vegetation Coverage of Typical Steppe Region - Case in Xilin Gol Grassland

Daoriao Daoriao, Jincai Xu, Yinshan Yinshan, Suriguga Bao
In this paper, 2000 - NDVI data 2014 Xilingol Grassland normalized difference vegetation index and land use Xilingol data, with the support of ENVI and Arcgis software, spatial and temporal variation in NDVI, analyzes Xilingol grassland vegetation cover condition the overall variation between distribution...
Proceedings Article

Analysis of Spatiotemporal Distribution and Influencing Factors of Grassland Fire in China-Mongolia Border Regions in Recent 15 Years

Yulong Bao, Lina Yinshan
In view of the grassland fire occurred in 3 banner of East Ujimqin banner in China and adjacent Mongolia as research area, the spatiotemporal characteristics was analyzed by GIS space analysis method and using the 2000-2014 MCD45A burned products,MOD13Q1 products data and meteorological data.The results...
Proceedings Article

Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Dust Storm in Inner Mongolia in Recent 30 Years

Terigele Terigele, YongMei YongMei, YinShan YinShan
In this study, using the technology of statistical and geographic information system as the main research methods study characteristics of temporal and spatial distribution of Sandstorm in Inner Mongolia, by analyzing from the characteristics of a wide range of dust weather and through on a longer time...
Proceedings Article

Temporal and Spatial Variation of Vegetation Analysis Based on MOD13 in Mu Us Sandy Land from 2000 to 2015

Ge Qiu, Yuilong Bao, Yuihai Bao, Jiabin Wu
To comprehend the variation of vegetation in Mu Us sandy land, the research use Mu Us sandy land as research area and make Uxin Qi(county) as a sample to anticipate the vegetation index variation on different land-use type. 365 images of Mod13 product are basic data which from 2000 to2015 and the spatial...
Proceedings Article

Characteristics of Vibration of Reinforced Concrete Buildings of Different Ages

Gegentana Gegentana, Narenmandula Narenmandula, Hongge Wang, Jianzhong Bao, Fengxiang Li, Hiroshi Kawase, Youyichi Matushima
In order to determine the vibration characteristics of reinforced concrete buildings of different ages, shapes similar to Hohhot, the same height reinforced concrete building built in different years as the research object, the use of micro-observation methods often mastered the natural cycle of the...
Proceedings Article

Change of Desertification based on MODIS Data in the Mongolia Border Region

Rula Sa, Shan Yin, Yuhai Bao, Huijuan Bao
In order to analyze the changes of desertification in Mongolia border region, this paper took the Dongwuzhumuqin and Halahahe as the research area, based on 2000-2015 years Vegetation growth season MODIS NDVI data, the vegetation coverage was calculated by using pixel two model, desertification index...
Proceedings Article

Drought Temporal Variation Characteristics Analysis based on the PDSI Data in Mongolian Plateau

Narisu Narisu, Yuhai Bao, Bao Yushan
According to Mongolian Plateau more droughts, serious hazards, selected 1980-2013 Mongolia Plateau 101 meteorological stations of month precipitation, annual temperature meteorological data, based on the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) on the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of drought...
Proceedings Article

Spatial-temporal Evolution of Desertification and Landscape Pattern Change in Hulunbeier Sandy Land

Narisu Narisu, Yinshan Yinshan, Yushan Yushan, Yuhai Bao, Lina Lina, Baocheng Wei
Based on the TM and ETM+ Lands at image data of 2000-2014, using the GIS spatial analysis method and visual interpretation methods, we extract the dynamic desertification information of Hulunbeier sand land. The spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of landscape pattern are analyzed on the foundation...