Fuzzy Exponential Smoothing Model and Its Application in Prediction of Unsafe Event Concerned on Aircraft Collision

DOI

10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Exponential Smoothing; Fuzzy Theory; Unsafe Event; Aircraft Collision

Abstract

To avoid the emergence of unsafe event concerned on aircraft collision, a hybrid modeling and predicting method combined fuzzy theory and exponential smoothing method is proposed. Fuzzy theory is mainly used to solve thr difficuty in the determination of the smoothing coefficient. The validation result shows that the proposed prediction method presents a good modeling and predicting performance. It is feasible and effective to predict the unsafe event concerned on aircraft collision for management and decision-making.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xu-Sheng Gan
AU  - Jian-Guo Gao
AU  - Huan-Bin Wang
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Fuzzy Exponential Smoothing Model and Its Application in Prediction of Unsafe Event Concerned on Aircraft Collision
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Automation, Mechanical Control and Computational Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 505
EP  - 508
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94
DO  - 10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94
ID  - Gan2015/04
ER  -