Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium on Computer, Communication, Control and Automation (ISCCCA 2013)

Bayesian Networks Application in Multi-State System Reliability Analysis

Authors
Sheng Zhai, Shuzhong Lin
Corresponding Author
Sheng Zhai
Available Online February 2013.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/isccca.2013.75How to use a DOI?
Keywords
multi-state, Bayesian network, system reliability, reasoning, modeling
Abstract

Aiming at the limitations of traditional reliability analysis theory in multi-state system, a method for reliability modeling and assessment of a multi-state system based on Bayesian Network (BN) is proposed with the advantages of uncertain reasoning and describing multi-state of event. Through the case of cell production line system, in this paper we will discuss how to establish and construct a multi-state system model based on Bayesian network, and how to apply the prior probability and posterior probability to do the bidirectional inference analysis, and directly calculate the reliability indices of the system by means of prior probability and Conditional Probability Table (CPT) . Thereby we can do the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the multi-state system reliability, identify the weak links of the system, and achieve assessment of system reliability.

Copyright
© 2013, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium on Computer, Communication, Control and Automation (ISCCCA 2013)
Series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
February 2013
ISBN
978-90-78677-63-5
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/isccca.2013.75How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2013, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Sheng Zhai
AU  - Shuzhong Lin
PY  - 2013/02
DA  - 2013/02
TI  - Bayesian Networks Application in Multi-State System Reliability Analysis
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium on Computer, Communication, Control and Automation (ISCCCA 2013)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 307
EP  - 311
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/isccca.2013.75
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/isccca.2013.75
ID  - Zhai2013/02
ER  -