Tourist Flow Forecasting Approach
Authors
I N Ostapenko, R S Usenko
Corresponding Author
I N Ostapenko
Available Online 17 March 2020.
- DOI
- 10.2991/aebmr.k.200312.353How to use a DOI?
- Abstract
This article discusses the issues of using methods of analyzing and forecasting seasonal time series to model the tourist flow as one of the most significant parameters of tourism operations. The authors considered reasonability of using the Holt-Winters approach to model time series, estimated model’s coefficients, and proposed a forecasting model. The authors also demonstrated use of the Holt-Winters approach to model parameters of tourism operations for a “short series” - the tourist flow to the Republic of Crimea at this stage of the peninsula’s development.
- Copyright
- © 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - I N Ostapenko AU - R S Usenko PY - 2020 DA - 2020/03/17 TI - Tourist Flow Forecasting Approach BT - Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference "Far East Con" (ISCFEC 2020) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 2528 EP - 2533 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200312.353 DO - 10.2991/aebmr.k.200312.353 ID - Ostapenko2020 ER -