Proceedings of the VIth International Workshop 'Critical Infrastructures: Contingency Management, Intelligent, Agent-Based, Cloud Computing and Cyber Security' (IWCI 2019)

Control Procedures Support System of Investment Project in the Fuel and Energy Complex on the Basis of Self-Organizing Maps

Authors
Bariy Ilyasov, Elena Makarova, Elena Zakieva, Galina Zimina
Corresponding Author
Bariy Ilyasov
Available Online September 2019.
DOI
10.2991/iwci-19.2019.26How to use a DOI?
Keywords
investment project; neural networks; simulation modeling; self-organizing Kohonen maps; decision-making
Abstract

The article deals with the development of the control procedures support system (CPSS) of an investment project in the fuel and energy complex (FEC) based on the use of intelligent technologies. The stages of management of investment projects in a particular fuel and energy company are presented. The estimation of deviations of the actual performance indicators of the project from the planned is presented, the conclusion about the need to use intelligent algorithms of decision-making support in order to reduce risks under uncertainty is made. An approach to solve the problem of development of CPSS of the investment project in the enterprise is proposed. The procedure of neural network data analysis and decision-making in the management of the investment project based on the construction of self-organizing Kohonen maps is developed. The examples of the pessimistic and realistic scenarios for managing the implementation of the investment project are presented. It is shown that the timeliness and the correctly chosen sequence of decision-making in time allow for obtaining greater profits, and therefore, achieving the stability in the functioning of the main and investment production and after the completion of the investment project. The developed CPSS of the investment project can be applied at the level of heads of the enterprises as an adviser in the implementation of scenario approach in the management of real investment projects.

Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the VIth International Workshop 'Critical Infrastructures: Contingency Management, Intelligent, Agent-Based, Cloud Computing and Cyber Security' (IWCI 2019)
Series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
September 2019
ISBN
10.2991/iwci-19.2019.26
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
10.2991/iwci-19.2019.26How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Bariy Ilyasov
AU  - Elena Makarova
AU  - Elena Zakieva
AU  - Galina Zimina
PY  - 2019/09
DA  - 2019/09
TI  - Control Procedures Support System of Investment Project in the Fuel and Energy Complex on the Basis of Self-Organizing Maps
BT  - Proceedings of the VIth International Workshop 'Critical Infrastructures: Contingency Management, Intelligent, Agent-Based, Cloud Computing and Cyber Security' (IWCI 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 146
EP  - 153
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iwci-19.2019.26
DO  - 10.2991/iwci-19.2019.26
ID  - Ilyasov2019/09
ER  -