About the Possibility of Building of the System-Phenomenological Models of the World Economy

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.201215.020How to use a DOI?

Keywords

phenomenological models of the world economy, interconnected economic space, system-dynamic models of the world’s countries, linking components, connections and relations into a single whole within the framework of a common model, model description of hybrid economies, the world economy and their development processes, multidimensional statistical data

Abstract

The historical and most widely known “Mir-2” and “Mir-3” models developed at the initiative of the club of Rome by J. Forrestor and D. meadows are analyzed. The model of M. Mesarovich and E. Pestel is briefly described. The analysis of such models of the world economy as the model of A. Onishi, V. Leontiev, the FUGI model, the LINK model of L. Klein, the “SARUM” and globus models is carried out. It is shown that the process of building models of the world economy rests on a problem of extreme complexity associated with a large number of interrelated subjects, a significant number of indicative indicators that require accounting, analysis and forecasting, low adequacy and accuracy of the models used, as well as the logical complexity of linking components, relationships and relationships into a single whole within a common model. In general, this work is aimed at finding new ways to model the description of national economies, the world economy and their development processes. It is proposed to create phenomenological models of urban, regional, national (industry) economies and the world economy as a whole based on the use of natural science methods that implement a system-phenomenological approach to describing multidimensional statistical data. Specific examples show the possibility of constructing phenomenological models in the form of equations of state for cities, regions, and countries that are structural elements of the general model of the world economy.

Copyright

© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Gennadiy Averin
AU  - Anna Zviagintseva
AU  - Anzhela Shvetsova
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/12/17
TI  - About the Possibility of Building of the System-Phenomenological Models of the World Economy
BT  - Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Contemporary Problems in the Development of Economic, Financial and Credit Systems (DEFCS 2020)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 92
EP  - 99
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.201215.020
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.201215.020
ID  - Averin2020
ER  -