Research on Economic Forecast of High-Tech Park Based on Combination Model: Taking the Zhongguancun Demonstration Zone as an Example*
- 10.2991/aebmr.k.191225.039How to use a DOI?
- high-tech park, economic forecast, combined model
In recent years, the domestic high-tech park economy has achieved rapid development. The park economic forecast is the basis for formulating macroeconomic policies and improving risk management capabilities. The traditional time series forecasting model is more and more difficult in the increasingly complex national economic development to meet the needs of economic forecasting. Based on this, an EMD-SVM based on high-tech park total revenue error correction combined forecasting model is established. The data were selected from the 2009-2017 Zhongguancun High-tech Park total revenue monthly data as a sample to verify. The results show that the model can provide more effective predictions for the operational trends under the characteristics of economic fluctuations in China’s high-tech parks.
- © 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Xiaofeng Wu AU - Da Li AU - Yanan Jin AU - Yaotong Chen PY - 2020 DA - 2020/01/07 TI - Research on Economic Forecast of High-Tech Park Based on Combination Model: Taking the Zhongguancun Demonstration Zone as an Example* BT - Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Economics, Management, Law and Education (EMLE 2019) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 220 EP - 225 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.191225.039 DO - 10.2991/aebmr.k.191225.039 ID - Wu2020 ER -