Analysis on the Population Forecast of Guangxi Province During the 14th Five -Year Plan Period — Based on GM(1,1)
- 10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018How to use a DOI?
- GM (1,1), The 14th Five-year plan population forecast
Background: At present, China’s population problem has getting worse. The birth rate keeps dropping, while the aging population is growing. So it is urgent to solve the population problem. Methods: We take the population of Guangxi Province from 2011 to 2018 as the original data, and use the GM (1,1) to forecast the population of Guangxi province during The 14th Five-Year Plan. Results: ①The total population of Guangxi is increasing; ②The growth rate of population under 14 is reducing, while that of the population over 65 is increasing; ③The number of people with primary and junior high school education is decreasing, while that with high school and college education is increasing. Conclusions: Guangxi Province has a low population growth rate, a serious aging problem and a low level of education.
- © 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Yue Li AU - Yonghui Gao AU - Xuening Wang PY - 2020 DA - 2020/12/14 TI - Analysis on the Population Forecast of Guangxi Province During the 14th Five -Year Plan Period — Based on GM(1,1) BT - Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Economic and Business Management (FEBM 2020) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 93 EP - 97 SN - 2352-5428 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018 DO - 10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018 ID - Li2020 ER -