Analysis on the Population Forecast of Guangxi Province During the 14th Five -Year Plan Period — Based on GM(1,1)

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018How to use a DOI?

Keywords

GM (1,1), The 14th Five-year plan population forecast

Abstract

Background: At present, China’s population problem has getting worse. The birth rate keeps dropping, while the aging population is growing. So it is urgent to solve the population problem. Methods: We take the population of Guangxi Province from 2011 to 2018 as the original data, and use the GM (1,1) to forecast the population of Guangxi province during The 14th Five-Year Plan. Results: ①The total population of Guangxi is increasing; ②The growth rate of population under 14 is reducing, while that of the population over 65 is increasing; ③The number of people with primary and junior high school education is decreasing, while that with high school and college education is increasing. Conclusions: Guangxi Province has a low population growth rate, a serious aging problem and a low level of education.

Copyright

© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yue Li
AU  - Yonghui Gao
AU  - Xuening Wang
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/12/14
TI  - Analysis on the Population Forecast of Guangxi Province During the 14th Five -Year Plan Period — Based on GM(1,1)
BT  - Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Economic and Business Management (FEBM 2020)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 93
EP  - 97
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.201211.018
ID  - Li2020
ER  -