Precision Analysis of an Analytical Method in Space Debris Orbit Prediction

DOI

10.2991/iccia-16.2016.43How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Spacecraft; Orbit prediction; Precision analysis; Quasi-analytical average method.

Abstract

Using high precision laser ephemeris as reference, the precision of orbit prediction is analyzed of an analytical model which is formulated by quasi-analytical average method. The result shows that: the orbit prediction accuracy of MEO and LEO satellites is several hundred meters in 1 day and not more than 10km in 7 days. The position error changes quickly over time. The calculation speed is fast using the analytical model. It can be used for precise orbit determination for a short term about 1 or 2 days. And it also can be used for the general accuracy of the long-term orbit prediction. But if the prediction time is too long, the accuracy will drop sharply.

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Download article (PDF)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Bin Wang
AU  - Huafeng Peng
AU  - Kun Li
PY  - 2016/09
DA  - 2016/09
TI  - Precision Analysis of an Analytical Method in Space Debris Orbit Prediction
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on Computer Engineering, Information Science & Application Technology (ICCIA 2016)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 238
EP  - 242
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iccia-16.2016.43
DO  - 10.2991/iccia-16.2016.43
ID  - Wang2016/09
ER  -