Models for orbital debris and its optional solutions
Yuwei Ni, Jiahui Bi, Yilin Hou
Available Online December 2016.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/iceeecs-16.2016.168How to use a DOI?
- Orbital debris; Factor analysis; Grey Forecasting Model
- The problem of the total number of orbit debris in the future has been the center of public attention for a long time. On the basis of statistics data and accurate calculation, the paper builds models and set up a model system. Then combine reality and define six possible factors affect the volume of space junk. Using correlation analysis, the experiment determines the final four key factors: the annual number of failure of spacecraft launch, the number of annual retired spacecraft which will be junk, the amount of collision arising from avalanche effect, junk self-consumption. In the basis of this analysis, establishing Gray Forecast Model to predict the annual number of space junk in the next two centuries and find that there will be a substantial junk increase in the predictable future.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Yuwei Ni AU - Jiahui Bi AU - Yilin Hou PY - 2016/12 DA - 2016/12 TI - Models for orbital debris and its optional solutions BT - 2016 4th International Conference on Electrical & Electronics Engineering and Computer Science (ICEEECS 2016) PB - Atlantis Press SN - 2352-538X UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/iceeecs-16.2016.168 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/iceeecs-16.2016.168 ID - Ni2016/12 ER -