Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Computing Technology

The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation

Authors
Qiang Lin, Lei Zhai, Song Liu
Corresponding Author
Qiang Lin
Available Online March 2016.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Monte Carlo Simulation; Public Transport; Operation Reliability
Abstract
To enhance the bus operation stability is the key to improve bus service. Traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability always relies on the whole line, the stability of the bus operation at the stops can not be reflected. Besides, traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability drawing from the data which is collected in a period of short time can not reflect the affection from the randomness of the environment. This article discussed the bus operation reliability based on the stops, using the Monte Carlo simulation to deal with the probabilistic affection from the operation environment. Setting a bus line from a city in Zhejiang province as a example to illustrate how to analyse and calculate the bus operation reliability on the stops, in the end we get the proper evaluation indicators which is from simulation sample capacity in a certain extent error precision.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Computing Technology
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
March 2016
ISBN
978-94-6252-165-0
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Qiang Lin
AU  - Lei Zhai
AU  - Song Liu
PY  - 2016/03
DA  - 2016/03
TI  - The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Computing Technology
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1774
EP  - 1777
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353
ID  - Lin2016/03
ER  -