The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation
Qiang Lin, Lei Zhai, Song Liu
Available Online March 2016.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353How to use a DOI?
- Monte Carlo Simulation; Public Transport; Operation Reliability
- To enhance the bus operation stability is the key to improve bus service. Traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability always relies on the whole line, the stability of the bus operation at the stops can not be reflected. Besides, traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability drawing from the data which is collected in a period of short time can not reflect the affection from the randomness of the environment. This article discussed the bus operation reliability based on the stops, using the Monte Carlo simulation to deal with the probabilistic affection from the operation environment. Setting a bus line from a city in Zhejiang province as a example to illustrate how to analyse and calculate the bus operation reliability on the stops, in the end we get the proper evaluation indicators which is from simulation sample capacity in a certain extent error precision.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Qiang Lin AU - Lei Zhai AU - Song Liu PY - 2016/03 DA - 2016/03 TI - The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation BT - Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Computing Technology PB - Atlantis Press SP - 1774 EP - 1777 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353 ID - Lin2016/03 ER -