Delphi Analysis Method and Its Application in Qualitative Prediction of Aircraft Collision Unsafe Event for Air Traffic Control

DOI

10.2991/isrme-15.2015.296How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Delphi analysis method; Qualitative prediction; Air traffic control; Aircraft collision unsafe event

Abstract

To predict the safety situation of air traffic control, it is inadequate to only use some quantitative prediction method, which can not take into account the knowledge and experience of the experts. We should also pay attention to the important role of some qualitative prediction method. Delphi analysis method based on the opinion and consultation of the experts is proposed to predict the unsafe events in the field of air traffic control. The example shows that Delphi analysis method can be used to solve the problem of safety prediction in air traffic control.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xusheng Gan
AU  - Jingshun Duanmu
AU  - Huanbin Wang
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Delphi Analysis Method and Its Application in Qualitative Prediction of Aircraft Collision Unsafe Event for Air Traffic Control
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Intelligent Systems Research and Mechatronics Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1472
EP  - 1475
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/isrme-15.2015.296
DO  - 10.2991/isrme-15.2015.296
ID  - Gan2015/04
ER  -