Proceedings of the 7th Scientific Conference on Information Technologies for Intelligent Decision Making Support (ITIDS 2019)

Semantic modeling of cyber threats in the energy sector using Dynamic Cognitive Maps and Bayesian Belief Network

Authors
Daria Gaskova, Aleksei Massel
Corresponding Author
Daria Gaskova
Available Online May 2019.
DOI
10.2991/itids-19.2019.58How to use a DOI?
Keywords
semantic modeling methods, cyber security, energy security, extreme situations in the energy sector, energy sector, cyber threat analysis
Abstract

The article discusses the use of semantic modeling in the analysis of threats to energy security (ES). Semantic modeling is proposed to be applied at a qualitative level, followed by quantitative assessment of the ES level in studies of energy security. Exercise of traditional software systems provides a quantitative assessment, which is characterized by the duration of information preparation, and the formation and adjustment of large enough models for computational experiments. At the first level, a decision maker selects options for which a detailed rationale is required based on the results of semantic modeling. These options are calculated at the second level. The article presents basic notions of Dynamic Cognitive Maps (DCM) and Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). The paper presents the information model that is suggested to use in analyzing cyber threats in the energy sector. Exemplification of the impact of cyber threats on an energy facility carried out under Dynamic Cognitive Maps and Bayesian Belief Network is given in this article. The advantages of each tool and their role in analyzing cyber threats in the energy sector are presented.

Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Download article (PDF)

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 7th Scientific Conference on Information Technologies for Intelligent Decision Making Support (ITIDS 2019)
Series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
May 2019
ISBN
978-94-6252-728-7
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
10.2991/itids-19.2019.58How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Daria Gaskova
AU  - Aleksei Massel
PY  - 2019/05
DA  - 2019/05
TI  - Semantic modeling of cyber threats in the energy sector using Dynamic Cognitive Maps and Bayesian Belief Network
BT  - Proceedings of the 7th Scientific Conference on Information Technologies for Intelligent Decision Making Support (ITIDS 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 326
EP  - 329
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/itids-19.2019.58
DO  - 10.2991/itids-19.2019.58
ID  - Gaskova2019/05
ER  -