Application of Sensitivity Analysis, “Worst Case”, and Maximum Possible Risk (MPR) to Adventitious Events
T. Taylor 0, T. Whalen, M. Cohen
0Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Available Online December 2008.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/jcis.2008.12How to use a DOI?
- statistics, probability, risk analysis, bioterrorism, anthrax
- We present here a logical progression of probability and risk analysis for adventi-tious events, events whose probability is not well measurably different from zero (WMDZ). We will show that such analy-ses culminate in maximum possible risk (MPR) and, further, that MPR is equiva-lent to a boundary condition for classic sensitivity analysis when applied to events which are not WMDZ. Further, we shall show that use of counter-factual probabilities provides a good estimate of these boundary conditions.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - T. Taylor AU - T. Whalen AU - M. Cohen PY - 2008/12 DA - 2008/12 TI - Application of Sensitivity Analysis, “Worst Case”, and Maximum Possible Risk (MPR) to Adventitious Events BT - 11th Joint International Conference on Information Sciences PB - Atlantis Press SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/jcis.2008.12 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/jcis.2008.12 ID - Taylor2008/12 ER -