Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Modeling, Analysis, Simulation Technologies and Applications (MASTA 2019)

Short-term Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow Forecasting Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and LSTM

Authors
Zi-ji-an Wang, Chao Chen, Xiao-le Li, Jing Li
Corresponding Author
Chao Chen
Available Online July 2019.
DOI
10.2991/masta-19.2019.20How to use a DOI?
Keywords
EMD, LSTM, Urban rail transit, Regression-forecast extension
Abstract

This paper proposed a method to forecast the short-term passenger flow, which is a vital component of urban rail transit system. We used a hybrid EMD-LSTM prediction model which combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to forecast the short-term passenger flow in urban rail transit system. EMD can extract the variation trend of passenger flow, then LSTM can make the prediction to prove the accuracy. The experimental results indicate that the EMD-LSTM model used in this paper has better prediction accuracy than the LSTM model alone. Besides, the amount of data used in this experiment is small, and there is no need to consider additional features except temporal factor. According to what we have learned, this is the first time to combine EMD and LSTM to make short-term prediction in the urban rail transit system.

Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Modeling, Analysis, Simulation Technologies and Applications (MASTA 2019)
Series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
July 2019
ISBN
10.2991/masta-19.2019.20
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
10.2991/masta-19.2019.20How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Zi-ji-an Wang
AU  - Chao Chen
AU  - Xiao-le Li
AU  - Jing Li
PY  - 2019/07
DA  - 2019/07
TI  - Short-term Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow Forecasting Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and LSTM
BT  - Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Modeling, Analysis, Simulation Technologies and Applications (MASTA 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 119
EP  - 126
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/masta-19.2019.20
DO  - 10.2991/masta-19.2019.20
ID  - Wang2019/07
ER  -