Improved Models for the Spread of Ebola

DOI

10.2991/meita-15.2015.148How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Epidemic model, improved SEIR model.

Abstract

The Ebola epidemic is more and more severe. To optimize the eradication of EVD, we take Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone as the object of research, first we build suspected- exposed-I nfectious-dead (SEID) model based on the popular SEIR model, since there are no effective medicine till now and the mortality rate of EVD is pretty high. It turns out that the curve of SEID agrees with actual data very well. Then we establish a suspected-exposed-infectious-quit (SEIQ) model by modifying the previous SEID model, which means that infected people quit the class either recovered or dead. Then we address the SEIQ problem and conclude that the growth rate of infectious people decreased obviously when medicine plays a part.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Liye Xie
PY  - 2015/08
DA  - 2015/08
TI  - Improved Models for the Spread of Ebola
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Materials Engineering and Information Technology Applications
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 805
EP  - 808
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/meita-15.2015.148
DO  - 10.2991/meita-15.2015.148
ID  - Xie2015/08
ER  -