An Estimate of the Integrated Risk of Flood and Earthquake in Santai County

DOI

10.2991/rac-18.2018.14How to use a DOI?

Keywords

information diffusion, earthquake, flood, integrated risk, Santai county

Abstract

In essence, the key to solve the problem of multi-disaster probability risk assessment is to find out the joint probability distribution and its vulnerability function. Based on the principle of information diffusion, this paper proposes an integrated risk analysis model for earthquake and flood, the 2-dimension normal diffusion are employed to construct a discrete joint probability distribution and a disaster function, an integrated probability risk of multi-hazards is the expected value of disaster as a result. With building and ophiopogon as the subject matter of earthquake and flood disasters, applied in Santai county, Sichuan province, we calculate the Santai annual integrated risk is 586.6 million RMB, accounting for 2.63% of the local GDP in 2016.

Copyright

© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Qiuyu Wang
AU  - Chongfu Huang
PY  - 2018/10
DA  - 2018/10
TI  - An Estimate of the Integrated Risk of Flood and Earthquake in Santai County
BT  - Proceedings of the 8th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 80
EP  - 85
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-18.2018.14
DO  - 10.2991/rac-18.2018.14
ID  - Wang2018/10
ER  -