Scenario Analysis of the Impact of Moderate Energy Price Correction on Carbon Peak

A Discussion on Taking the Enterprise as the Adjustment Object

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.220502.085How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Price correction; scenario analysis; grey prediction; carbon peak

Abstract

On the one hand, the distortion of energy prices can’t objectively reflect the characteristics of energy externalities, and on the other hand, it weakens the regulating effect of price lever. And it makes the phenomenon of high energy consumption and high emission continue to exist, which is not conducive to the smooth progress of the “dual carbon” goal. Coal and oil, as the most consumed energy and the largest proportion of emissions, play an important role in emission reduction. In view of this, this paper will moderately correct the price of coal and oil in a distorted state, and select relevant factors that affect carbon emissions to set up a variety of scenarios. And use the multivariate grey prediction model to analyze different price levels (corrected by 10%, 30%, 50%), as well as energy efficiency, energy structure, technological progress, urbanization rate, per capita GDP in high-speed, medium-speed, and low-speed development scenarios. Then, the timetable, peak interval and roadmap for the carbon peaking target under these scenarios can be obtained.

Copyright

© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Keyi Ju
AU  - Lei He
AU  - Wenhui Li
AU  - Qin Ye
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/05/16
TI  - Scenario Analysis of the Impact of Moderate Energy Price Correction on Carbon Peak
BT  - Proceedings of the 2022 International Conference on Urban Planning and Regional Economy（UPRE 2022）
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 476
EP  - 482
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220502.085
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.220502.085
ID  - Ju2022
ER  -