A Prediction Model for Spread of Ebola Virus
Authors
Zhuo Chen
Corresponding Author
Zhuo Chen
Available Online May 2016.
- DOI
- 10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Ebola, spread,SIR
- Abstract
The 2014 Ebola outbreak is an ongoing epidemic of the Ebola virus disease in West Africa causing many deaths and great panic. It has been declared “the largest, most complex and most severe we’ve ever seen” by the World Health Organization (WHO)[1]. This paper tries to establish a realistic, sensible, and useful model to optimize the eradication of Ebola. First, we establish a SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Removed) model [2]to reveal the natural spread process of the Ebola disease in the crowd. Then we select three countries- Guinea, Sierra Leone and Libya, where the epidemic disease is serious, to test the model. The simulation result fits well with the true data.
- Copyright
- © 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Zhuo Chen PY - 2016/05 DA - 2016/05 TI - A Prediction Model for Spread of Ebola Virus BT - Proceedings of the 2016 2nd Workshop on Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications PB - Atlantis Press SP - 1079 EP - 1082 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229 DO - 10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229 ID - Chen2016/05 ER -