Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 4, Issue 2, June 2014
Research Article

1. Editor's Introduction

Chongfu Huang, Junxiang Zhang
Pages: 58 - 58
Commentary

2. The Crisis of Undercoordination

Lotfi A. Zadeh
Pages: 59 - 60
Technological progress—especially in the realms of information processing, communication, transportation, commerce and distribution of energy—is leading to an accelerated growth in interdependence on all levels of modern society. A well-known result in systems analysis is that highly interdependent large-scale...
Research Article

3. Multiple Internet of Intelligences for Risk Analysis

Chongfu Huang
Pages: 61 - 71
In this study, we define a multiple Internet of intelligences (M-IOI) as the processing of homological information in layers. If agents in an M-IOI not only provide information in response to a question asked by a customer but also review information from other agents and summarize it, we refer to this...
Research Article

4. Construction of Dynamic Risk Maps for Large Metropolitan Areas

Evgeny S. Guryev, Lyudmila V. Poluyan, Sviatoslav A. Timashev
Pages: 72 - 76
The paper describes a methodology used for constructing dynamic risk map for a virtual large «Russian Gotham-RG» city. The risk map is the core of the safety passport (SP) for the city, as required by the Russian EMERCOM and the Russian State Agency for Industrial Safety. The SP contains extensive risk...
Research Article

5. Volatility Forecasting in Financial Risk Management with Statistical Models and ARCH-RBF Neural Networks

Dusan Marcek, Lukas Falat
Pages: 77 - 95
As volatility plays very important role in financial risk management, we investigate the volatility dynamics of EUR/GBP currency. While a number of studies examines volatility using statistical models, we also use neural network approach. We suggest the ARCH-RBF model that combines information from ARCH...
Research Article

6. Analogies in Entity Risk Mechanics

Milík Tichý
Pages: 96 - 107
Companies exposed to hazards can be paralleled to building and engineering Structures subjected to physical loads; see. Important analogies can be identified in various specific concepts, e.g., in size effect, instability, fatigue, and in many others.
Research Article

7. Parts of Speech of AnQuan

Ming Xu, Zongzhi Wu, Yun Luo
Pages: 108 - 112
Researches on connotation of AnQuan were research hot spots in safety discipline field and the starting points of development of the discipline. The presupposition that AnQuan is noun was the foundation of those studies. But is this hypothesis really exists? In this paper, research has shown that the...