Proceedings of the 2015 AASRI International Conference on Circuits and Systems

Forecasting the Environment Changes with the ARMA Model for Application to an Oil Tank Fire Hazard

Authors
Ni Yuanzhi, Zhang Jie, Lyu Ming, Bo Yuming
Corresponding Author
Ni Yuanzhi
Available Online August 2015.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/cas-15.2015.1How to use a DOI?
Keywords
time series forecasting; oil tank farm; ARMA; environment change
Abstract
In oil tank farm, the fire hazard causes a great loss to both people and property. Once there is a fire, to avoid more loss, a reliable, secure and practical method for putting out a fire is needed. And under this circumstance, the accurate forecasting of the changes of the environment, such as temperature or humidity, is of great value. We employed time series analysis method to forecast the temperature and humidity changes when there was a fire accident in the oil tank farm. According to the record, we modelled a suitable ARMA model. And the results show that ARMA is an effective method to predict time varying series in the oil tank farm. Our results in this paper also provide an important way of studying the fire spreading in the oil tank farm
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This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

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Proceedings
2015 AASRI International Conference on Circuits and Systems (CAS 2015)
Part of series
Advances in Computer Science Research
Publication Date
August 2015
ISBN
978-94-62520-74-5
ISSN
2352-538X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/cas-15.2015.1How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Ni Yuanzhi
AU  - Zhang Jie
AU  - Lyu Ming
AU  - Bo Yuming
PY  - 2015/08
DA  - 2015/08
TI  - Forecasting the Environment Changes with the ARMA Model for Application to an Oil Tank Fire Hazard
BT  - 2015 AASRI International Conference on Circuits and Systems (CAS 2015)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/cas-15.2015.1
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/cas-15.2015.1
ID  - Yuanzhi2015/08
ER  -