An SD Analysis of China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Environment Effect

DOI

10.2991/cas-15.2015.80How to use a DOI?

Keywords

environment effect; system dynamics (SD); foreign exchange reserves (FER); simulation; forecast

Abstract

The environment effect of China’s tremendous foreign exchange reserves is striking in recent years. Centring on key indexes, a system dynamics study is made using software VENSIM. First, functions among variables, such as foreign exchange reserves, energy consumption, energy production, energy import, pollution control investment, export, FDI, and import, are determined in line with system dynamics principles by using software EVIEWS, EXCEL, SPSS & HLM. Next, model validity check including visual inspection, running inspection and history test is made which shows a good fitness between the model constructed and the reality and hence can be used in forecast and simulation. Finally, suggestions are proposed.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Wang Juan
AU  - Tsagdis Dimitrios
AU  - Chen Haibo
PY  - 2015/08
DA  - 2015/08
TI  - An SD Analysis of China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Environment Effect
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 AASRI International Conference on Circuits and Systems
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 335
EP  - 340
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/cas-15.2015.80
DO  - 10.2991/cas-15.2015.80
ID  - Juan2015/08
ER  -