Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference "Young Engineers of the Fuel and Energy Complex: Developing the Energy Agenda of the Future" (EAF 2021)

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Industrial Scientific and Technological Forecasting: From Image Building up to Studying an Uncertain Future

Authors
Natalia Trifonova1, *, Marina Vlasova1, Irina Lobanova1, Anna Kovaleva2
1Saint Petersburg Electrotechnical University “LETI”, Russian Federation
2Saint Petersburg State University of Economics, Russian Federation
*Corresponding author. Email: i.a.lobanova@bk.ru
Corresponding Author
Natalia Trifonova
Available Online 24 March 2022.
DOI
10.2991/aer.k.220308.025How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Energy industry; Scientific and technological development; Methodology of scientific and technological forecasting; Prognostic research; Scenario forecasting; Uncertainty of the future
Abstract

Predictive studies traditionally appeal to a new scientific result. What does determine the level of uncertainty of predictive research: the future period (time), future technologies (object) different from today’s solutions or the methodology for conducting predictive research (method)? The task of scientific and technological forecasting of energy development can be defined in several directions. Changes in frontier technologies can be identified. But it is possible to anticipate the emergence of technologies that define alternative approaches to the use of raw materials, generation and distribution of energy, which will help to dramatically reduce the negative impacts on environmental and social systems. Finally, emerging new markets, trends, and demand indicators can be identified.

Copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference "Young Engineers of the Fuel and Energy Complex: Developing the Energy Agenda of the Future" (EAF 2021)
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
24 March 2022
ISBN
978-94-6239-553-4
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
10.2991/aer.k.220308.025How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Natalia Trifonova
AU  - Marina Vlasova
AU  - Irina Lobanova
AU  - Anna Kovaleva
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/03/24
TI  - Industrial Scientific and Technological Forecasting: From Image Building up to Studying an Uncertain Future
BT  - Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference "Young Engineers of the Fuel and Energy Complex: Developing the Energy Agenda of the Future" (EAF 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 156
EP  - 161
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aer.k.220308.025
DO  - 10.2991/aer.k.220308.025
ID  - Trifonova2022
ER  -