Industrial Scientific and Technological Forecasting: From Image Building up to Studying an Uncertain Future
- 10.2991/aer.k.220308.025How to use a DOI?
- Energy industry; Scientific and technological development; Methodology of scientific and technological forecasting; Prognostic research; Scenario forecasting; Uncertainty of the future
Predictive studies traditionally appeal to a new scientific result. What does determine the level of uncertainty of predictive research: the future period (time), future technologies (object) different from today’s solutions or the methodology for conducting predictive research (method)? The task of scientific and technological forecasting of energy development can be defined in several directions. Changes in frontier technologies can be identified. But it is possible to anticipate the emergence of technologies that define alternative approaches to the use of raw materials, generation and distribution of energy, which will help to dramatically reduce the negative impacts on environmental and social systems. Finally, emerging new markets, trends, and demand indicators can be identified.
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Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Natalia Trifonova AU - Marina Vlasova AU - Irina Lobanova AU - Anna Kovaleva PY - 2022 DA - 2022/03/24 TI - Industrial Scientific and Technological Forecasting: From Image Building up to Studying an Uncertain Future BT - Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference "Young Engineers of the Fuel and Energy Complex: Developing the Energy Agenda of the Future" (EAF 2021) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 156 EP - 161 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/aer.k.220308.025 DO - 10.2991/aer.k.220308.025 ID - Trifonova2022 ER -