Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Green Materials and Environmental Engineering

Development of a Residential Space-Heating Demand Prediction Method under Uncertainly

Authors
Dianzheng Fu, Zeyu Zheng, Yiming Tong, Yang Fu
Corresponding Author
Dianzheng Fu
Available Online December 2015.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/gmee-15.2015.45How to use a DOI?
Keywords
heat demand prediction; uncertainty; heating system; fuzzy set
Abstract

in this paper, a prediction method was advanced for residential space heating demand under the fuzz environment. This developed method improved the traditional heat load duration curve method via the quantification expression technique for the fuzzy heating durations. The results indicate that the higher the system possibility is, the narrower the interval of the heat demand prediction result becomes, in which the decision maker can adjust the practical heat provisions of the heat sources. Besides, the opposite heat provision variation trend of the main heat source and peak-shaving heat source can be obtained with the rising thermalization coefficient. Compared with the traditional heat load duration curve method, it is helpful for the relative multi-heat-source centralized heating system managers by providing a potential tradeoff analysis between the system possibility and the selectable heat provision ranges of different heat sources.

Copyright
© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Green Materials and Environmental Engineering
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
December 2015
ISBN
978-94-6252-138-4
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/gmee-15.2015.45How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Dianzheng Fu
AU  - Zeyu Zheng
AU  - Yiming Tong
AU  - Yang Fu
PY  - 2015/12
DA  - 2015/12
TI  - Development of a Residential Space-Heating Demand Prediction Method under Uncertainly
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Green Materials and Environmental Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 170
EP  - 173
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/gmee-15.2015.45
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/gmee-15.2015.45
ID  - Fu2015/12
ER  -