Proceedings of the 2018 7th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development (ICEESD 2018)

CARS: A material mechanics model for evaluating the impact of climate change on national fragility

Authors
Yuxin Niu, Yingtao Zhang, Mingyang Song
Corresponding Author
Yuxin Niu
Available Online May 2018.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.321How to use a DOI?
Keywords
National Fragility, Material Mechanics,Climate Change
Abstract

Although the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggests that the net damage costs of climate change towards countries are likely to be significant, it remains a challenge in evaluating a country’s fragility and measuring the impact of climate change, in a less-subjective manner, since considerable uncertainties exist with regard to the extent and geographical distribution of these changes. In this paper, we establish a model for determining a country’s fragility through an analogical pattern: A country is modeled as a special kind of material and its fragility is formulated by four determinant capacities (i.e., the coping capacity, the adaptability, the resilience and the sensibility of risks, CARS for short) that models key endogenous factors under external forces. Compared to the PSR (Pressure-State-Response) model, the proposed CARS model provides an interesting explanation on national fragility.

Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2018 7th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development (ICEESD 2018)
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
May 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-503-0
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.321How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Yuxin Niu
AU  - Yingtao Zhang
AU  - Mingyang Song
PY  - 2018/05
DA  - 2018/05
TI  - CARS: A material mechanics model for evaluating the impact of climate change on national fragility
BT  - Proceedings of the 2018 7th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development (ICEESD 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1781
EP  - 1786
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.321
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iceesd-18.2018.321
ID  - Niu2018/05
ER  -