Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2019)

Neural Network in the Anticipation of Electricity Use: An Investigation from Micro and Macro Perspectives

Authors
Mingyuan Zhou, Yufeng Xiao, Yanqing Ma
Corresponding Author
Mingyuan Zhou
Available Online 20 December 2019.
DOI
10.2991/aebmr.k.191217.059How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Wavelet analysis, BP neural network, Seasonal adjustment model
Abstract

In our contemporary fiscal lives continuously expanded by technological innovations, electricity is playing an increasingly momentous role. That said, ameliorating electricity consumption anticipation has become a most imminent and pressing issue. Considering the large quantity and high frequency of electric load data (96*197 groups), this paper, from a micro perspective, combines wavelet decomposition with BP neural network to forecast the electric load data of users. The results show that the prediction results are better than that of purely using BP neural network. In addition, from a macro perspective, this paper analyzes the essential factors of electricity consumption in China. Through establishing seasonal adjustment model, our research predicts China’s electricity consumption in the next 10 years. The result indicates that the electricity consumption reaches its peak of 2008.541 billion kWh in the third quarter of 2024, and the power supply should be planned well in advance.

Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2019)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
20 December 2019
ISBN
978-94-6252-866-6
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/aebmr.k.191217.059How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Mingyuan Zhou
AU  - Yufeng Xiao
AU  - Yanqing Ma
PY  - 2019
DA  - 2019/12/20
TI  - Neural Network in the Anticipation of Electricity Use: An Investigation from Micro and Macro Perspectives
BT  - Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 335
EP  - 348
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.191217.059
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.191217.059
ID  - Zhou2019
ER  -