Risk Mapping of Risk Factors Associated with Human Rabies Cases in Bali Province, Indonesia

DOI

10.2991/isessah-19.2019.36How to use a DOI?

Keywords

risk maps, rabies, human, Bali, Indonesia

Abstract

Since the emergence of rabies cases in human in 2008, there have been 174 humans affected by the disease in Bali. Eradication program implementing dog vaccination has seemed to decrease the incidence of rabies cases in human, however the human cases were still found. A lot of resources from local and national government as well as the international organisation has been spent on this program. There need to be a review on rabies control implementation in Bali in order to have an effective dan efficient control program. Our study investigated data on rabies in humans and dogs and vaccination program in Bali from 2016 to 2018. In this study we analysed the association between number of human cases and three factors that include number of dog cases, dog vaccination coverages and number of poor households using a zero inflated Poisson regression. A risk map was also built by mapping the unexplained spatial risk (residual) using R. From this study we found that dog rabies and social economy status have positive association with human cases. As expected, the higher the vaccination coverage in dogs the lower the human rabies. However, none of these factors were significantly associated with the human cases. In the risk maps we found that Kintamani has the largest residual. This could mean this area has a unique risk factors compare to other subdistricts. Investigation in the areas with relatively high residual e.g. Kintamani is needed to uncover the unique risk factors contributing to human cases

Copyright

© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yuni Yupiana
AU  - Chaerul Basri
AU  - Ernawati
AU  - S Sihombing
AU  - Farida Zenal
AU  - Caitlin Pfeifer
AU  - Mark Stevenson
AU  - Luuk Schoonman
AU  - James McGrane
AU  - Fajar Tjaturrasa
PY  - 2019/12
DA  - 2019/12
TI  - Risk Mapping of Risk Factors Associated with Human Rabies Cases in Bali Province, Indonesia
BT  - Proceedings of the Conference of the International Society for Economics and Social Sciences of Animal Health - South East Asia 2019 (ISESSAH-SEA 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1
EP  - 2
SN  - 2468-5739
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/isessah-19.2019.36
DO  - 10.2991/isessah-19.2019.36
ID  - Yupiana2019/12
ER  -