Short-term Load Combination Forecasting Based on Evidential Theory Combines with Ant Colony Algorithm-Neural Network
- 10.2991/mcei-16.2016.55How to use a DOI?
- Evidence theory; Ant colony algorithm; Neural network; Load forecasting; Combination forecasting
In order to improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting, a combination prediction method is applied of evidence theory combines with ant colony algorithm-neural network. According to a city's actual load data, the ant colony algorithm-neural network as single mode1 is used to its initial forecast. Then the BP and RBF neural network are selected to get the credibility of each model, with forecasting errors and environmental influence. And the evidence theory was employed to fuse them to obtain the combination weight, so short-term load forecast was fulfilled. Examples show that the method by evidence theory to determine the best combination of weight, thus fitting error is small, and with high prediction accuracy. The combination method is suitable for short-term load forecasting prediction and has a certain application value.
- © 2017, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Jing Hua AU - Li Ai AU - Jiatang Cheng PY - 2016/12 DA - 2016/12 TI - Short-term Load Combination Forecasting Based on Evidential Theory Combines with Ant Colony Algorithm-Neural Network BT - Proceedings of the 2016 6th International Conference on Mechatronics, Computer and Education Informationization (MCEI 2016) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 262 EP - 267 SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/mcei-16.2016.55 DO - 10.2991/mcei-16.2016.55 ID - Hua2016/12 ER -