Evaluating System of a Country's Development Potential and the Analysis of Climate's Impact
Available Online March 2018.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/mecae-18.2018.27How to use a DOI?
- Fragile State Index, Evaluating system, Entropy Weight Method, GRNN, Climate change.
- In this paper, fragility which is measured by Fragile State Index is used to represent a country's development potential. Then, we establish an evaluating system to measure a country's fragility based on GRNN model and Entropy weight method. Besides, we analyze the impact of climate change on the results. And taking Afghanistan as an example, we analyze the country's fragility. First, we establish the basic structure of evaluating system based on AHP. Then, the Entropy Weight Method is applied to solve the correlation between the principle layer and the indicator layer, while the GRNN model is used to investigate the relation between target layer and principle layer. In order to find the influence caused by the climate change in Afghanistan, we introduce a sub-indicator layer under the indicator layer, and the relationship between these two layers is solved based on Multiple Linear Regression. Finally, we get a comparison between the situation with climate change and without climate change. We find that in the situation that climate change is absent, Afghanistan's vulnerability is significantly better than the situation with climate change. Therefore, Afghanistan should step up its efforts to protect the environment in order to improve its vulnerability and achieve better development.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Ning Fang PY - 2018/03 DA - 2018/03 TI - Evaluating System of a Country's Development Potential and the Analysis of Climate's Impact BT - Proceedings of the 2018 International Conference on Mechanical, Electronic, Control and Automation Engineering (MECAE 2018) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 148 EP - 151 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/mecae-18.2018.27 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/mecae-18.2018.27 ID - Fang2018/03 ER -