Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Modelling, Simulation and Applied Mathematics (MSAM 2018)

Research on Simulation of Electric Energy Substitution Policy

Authors
Peng Wu, Yu Zhang, Baoguo Shan, Houqi Dong, Mo Shi, Peng Zheng
Corresponding Author
Peng Wu
Available Online July 2018.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/msam-18.2018.16How to use a DOI?
Keywords
electric energy substitution; policy simulation; policy intervention analysis model
Abstract
Proper incentive policy guidance is the key to the successful implementation of electric energy substitution strategy. At present, there is a lack of evaluation method for the effect of electric energy substitution policy. Quantitative policy simulation analysis method is needed to provide support for scientific decision-making. In this paper, the electric energy substitution policy is regarded as an intervening event in the process of electric energy substitution, and an intervention analysis model of energy substitution time series is established. Through the intervention analysis on the growth rule of electric energy substitution in the policy implementation, the structural change of the growth trend of energy substitution can be quantified.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

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Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Peng Wu
AU  - Yu Zhang
AU  - Baoguo Shan
AU  - Houqi Dong
AU  - Mo Shi
AU  - Peng Zheng
PY  - 2018/07
DA  - 2018/07
TI  - Research on Simulation of Electric Energy Substitution Policy
BT  - Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Modelling, Simulation and Applied Mathematics (MSAM 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 70
EP  - 73
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/msam-18.2018.16
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/msam-18.2018.16
ID  - Wu2018/07
ER  -