Research on Simulation of Electric Energy Substitution Policy
- 10.2991/msam-18.2018.16How to use a DOI?
- electric energy substitution; policy simulation; policy intervention analysis model
Proper incentive policy guidance is the key to the successful implementation of electric energy substitution strategy. At present, there is a lack of evaluation method for the effect of electric energy substitution policy. Quantitative policy simulation analysis method is needed to provide support for scientific decision-making. In this paper, the electric energy substitution policy is regarded as an intervening event in the process of electric energy substitution, and an intervention analysis model of energy substitution time series is established. Through the intervention analysis on the growth rule of electric energy substitution in the policy implementation, the structural change of the growth trend of energy substitution can be quantified.
- © 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Peng Wu AU - Yu Zhang AU - Baoguo Shan AU - Houqi Dong AU - Mo Shi AU - Peng Zheng PY - 2018/07 DA - 2018/07 TI - Research on Simulation of Electric Energy Substitution Policy BT - Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Modelling, Simulation and Applied Mathematics (MSAM 2018) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 70 EP - 73 SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/msam-18.2018.16 DO - 10.2991/msam-18.2018.16 ID - Wu2018/07 ER -