Risk analysis of power plant investment based on Monte Carlo
Dongxiao Niu, Jingpeng Qiu, Meiqiong Wu, Yali Huang
Available Online November 2015.
- 10.2991/msie-15.2015.53How to use a DOI?
- Power Plant; Investment; Risk; Monte Carlo.
With the increase of demand for electric power supply, power plant investment is rising. However huge investment usually causes more risks. Based on the market environment of a power plant, combined with cogeneration investment situation in China, the regional electric power demand and supply situation and characteristics of the power grid, the investment risk is evaluated and predicted from natural risk, social risk, political risk, economic risk, technical risk and other risk. Risk analysis model has been built based on Monte Carlo, and the calculation results shows relatively accurate, so this model has a certain guiding significance for the managers.
- © 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Dongxiao Niu AU - Jingpeng Qiu AU - Meiqiong Wu AU - Yali Huang PY - 2015/11 DA - 2015/11 TI - Risk analysis of power plant investment based on Monte Carlo BT - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Management Science and Innovative Education PB - Atlantis Press SP - 236 EP - 240 SN - 2352-5398 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/msie-15.2015.53 DO - 10.2991/msie-15.2015.53 ID - Niu2015/11 ER -