PPP Project Risk Assessment Evaluation Based on Cloud Model and D-S Theory

DOI

10.2991/msmi-18.2018.16How to use a DOI?

Keywords

PPP project, Cloud model, D-S theory, Risk assessment

Abstract

In view of the fuzziness and randomness of risk factors of PPP project, a risk assessment method of PPP project based on cloud model and D-S theory is proposed. Firstly, it determines the reasonable PPP project risk evaluation index, and then uses the cloud model theory to divide the risk level of PPP project, then uses the D-S theory to determine the weight value of each risk evaluation index, finally establishes the comprehensive risk evaluation model of PPP project. Employing the “Chongqing HuanTou” PPP project with a number of districts and counties to conduct empirical tests. The results show that the cloud model and D-S theory can make the qualitative and quantitative evaluation of various risk factors inter-conversion and determine the weight of each risk index more accurately, which is scientific and reasonable. In addition, the cloud digital feature map can clearly and intuitively reflect the overall risk level of the project, which is of high reference value to the project decision-makers objectively evaluating the project risk.

Copyright

© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Li-Juan CHEN
PY  - 2018/04
DA  - 2018/04
TI  - PPP Project Risk Assessment Evaluation Based on Cloud Model and D-S Theory
BT  - Proceedings of the 2018 5th International Conference on Management Science and Management Innovation (MSMI 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 87
EP  - 92
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/msmi-18.2018.16
DO  - 10.2991/msmi-18.2018.16
ID  - CHEN2018/04
ER  -