Proceedings of the 5th Padang International Conference On Economics Education, Economics, Business and Management, Accounting and Entrepreneurship (PICEEBA-5 2020)

Macroeconomic Shocks to Non-Oil and Gas Exports to ASEAN Countries Amid Global Uncertainty

Authors
Hasdi Aimon, Hari Setia Putra, Farid Husein
Corresponding Author
Hari Setia Putra
Available Online 27 November 2020.
DOI
10.2991/aebmr.k.201126.026How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Non- Oil and Gas Exports, Macroeconomics, VECM, Global Uncertainty
Abstract

Global uncertainty has an impact on various aspects, one of which is the economy. Global uncertainties caused by various factors also affect international trade, especially exports. The purpose of this research is to see how the impact of macroeconomic shocks and global uncertainty on non-oil and gas commodities sent abroad from Indonesia to ASEAN countries. This study uses time series data from 2014 to 2019 in monthly form. Cointegration test and Vector estimation test The Error Correction Model (VECM) is an analytical tool in research. The variables used in this research are inflation, rupiah exchange rate, global oil price, and global uncertainty index. The results of this study found that in a short and long period of time each variable had a different effect on the quantity of non-oil and gas exports to each export destination country in ASEAN.

Copyright
© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 5th Padang International Conference On Economics Education, Economics, Business and Management, Accounting and Entrepreneurship (PICEEBA-5 2020)
Series
Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research
Publication Date
27 November 2020
ISBN
10.2991/aebmr.k.201126.026
ISSN
2352-5428
DOI
10.2991/aebmr.k.201126.026How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2020, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Hasdi Aimon
AU  - Hari Setia Putra
AU  - Farid Husein
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/11/27
TI  - Macroeconomic Shocks to Non-Oil and Gas Exports to ASEAN Countries Amid Global Uncertainty
BT  - Proceedings of the 5th Padang International Conference On Economics Education, Economics, Business and Management, Accounting and Entrepreneurship (PICEEBA-5 2020)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 221
EP  - 238
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.201126.026
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.201126.026
ID  - Aimon2020
ER  -