Scenario Model of the Movement of Bank Capital Between Institutional Sectors in the Sverdlovsk Region

DOI

10.2991/assehr.k.220106.048How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Scenario Modeling; Banking Sector; Institutional Sectors; Forecast Scenarios

Abstract

The paper presents a projected model and forecast scenarios for the movement of bank capital between institutional sectors in the Sverdlovsk region. These sectors, according to the System of National Accounts, include financial corporations (banks, insurance organizations, pension funds and investment companies), non-financial corporations (enterprises of various economic activities), the general government sector, households and foreign institutions. The projected scenario model, which reflects the influence of factors on the formation of banking capital in the region, the relationship of institutional sectors in the processes of its movement between sectors for various investment instruments, as well as modeling the socio-economic consequences of its movement, can be used to form a variety of alternative forecast scenarios. The model made it possible to establish negative patterns in the processes of transferring bank capital, form the most probable scenarios for its movement between sectors, assess the socio-economic consequences of their implementation, and also identify key factors for the transition to the most favorable scenario.

Copyright

© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press SARL.

Open Access

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Ilya Naumov
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/01/18
TI  - Scenario Model of the Movement of Bank Capital Between Institutional Sectors in the Sverdlovsk Region
BT  - Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference "Sustainable development of environment after Covid-19" (SDEC 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 266
EP  - 271
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.220106.048
DO  - 10.2991/assehr.k.220106.048
ID  - Naumov2022
ER  -