Modeling the Impact of Social and Economic Factors on Innovative Development of Healthcare in the Conditions of Sustainable Development of Ukraine

DOI

10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.19How to use a DOI?

Keywords

modeling, neural network, factors, healthcare, indicators, healthcare innovation policy, budgets

Abstract

The aim of the article is to determine the impact of social and economic factors on innovative development of healthcare using modeling with a neural network. The article grounded the necessity of neural net concept tools introduction into the health sector practice in the conditions of sustainable development of Ukraine. The proposed model is based on social and economic development indicators of Ukraine and the advanced countries in the world. Indicators characterizing the results of the Ukraine’s social, economic, innovation policy for 2000-2016 have been used in the model. Calculations have been made by applying functional modules and standard procedures implemented in software package Statistica Neural Network. Statistical data on economic and social, innovation activity of advanced countries, such as Austria, Great Britain, Denmark, Netherlands, Norway, Finland, Sweden, Belgium and USA have been used. Empirical base for the analysis of foreign countries activities includes data for 1980-2016. All data used in our analysis are taken from State Statistics Committee of Ukraine, IMF and OECD. The methodology has made it possible to determine the factors that affect the GDP of Ukraine. Public healthcare financing has the greatest influence over the GDP growth. No the least important for the country's socio and economic growth is the increase of expenditures of the state budget on the research and development. Forecast of public healthcare financing and public research and development financing for 5 years has been carried out. The proposed model for assessing the impact of social and economic factors on innovative development of healthcare allows to predict the level of public healthcare financing, research and development financing from the state budget. This will help to develop effective measures and implement a healthcare innovation policy in the conditions of sustainable development of Ukraine. The received forecast data may provide the basis for the healthcare innovative development strategy design, programs and budgets, healthcare innovation projects.

Copyright

© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Zoryna Yurynets
AU  - Oksana Petrukh
AU  - Nataliia Danylevych
AU  - Ivanna Myshchshyn
PY  - 2019/09
DA  - 2019/09
TI  - Modeling the Impact of Social and Economic Factors on Innovative Development of Healthcare in the Conditions of Sustainable Development of Ukraine
BT  - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Strategies, Models and Technologies of Economic Systems Management (SMTESM 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 93
EP  - 96
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.19
DO  - 10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.19
ID  - Yurynets2019/09
ER  -