International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems

Volume 1, Issue 4, December 2008, Pages 379 - 389

Neural Network Based Traffic Prediction for Wireless Data Networks

Authors
Gowrishankar1, P.S. Satyanarayana2
1Department of Computer Science and Engineering, B.M.S College of Engineering
2Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, B.M.S. College of Engineering
Corresponding Author
Gowrishankar
Received 21 February 2008, Revised 6 June 2008, Available Online 1 December 2008.
DOI
10.2991/ijcis.2008.1.4.9How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Traffic flow, Time series, QoS, Prediction, FARIMA and Neural Networks
Abstract

In a wireless network environment accurate and timely estimation or prediction of network traffic has gained much importance in the recent past. The network applications use traffic prediction results to maintain its performance by adopting its behaviors. Network Service provider will use the prediction values in ensuring the better Quality of Service(QoS) to the network users by admission control and load balancing by inter or intra network handovers. This paper presents modeling and prediction of wireless network traffic. Here traffic is modeled as nonlinear and non-stationary time series. The nonlinear and non-stationary time series traffic is predicted using neural network and statistical methods. The results of both the methods are compared on different time scales or time granularity. The Neural Network (NN) architectures used in this study are Recurrent Radial Basis Function Network (RRBFN) and Echo state network (ESN).The statistical model used here in this work is Fractional Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (FARIMA) model. The traffic prediction accuracy of neural network and statistical models are in the range of 96.4% to 98.3% and 78.5% to 80.2% respectively.

Copyright
© 2009, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Journal
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Volume-Issue
1 - 4
Pages
379 - 389
Publication Date
2008/12/01
ISSN (Online)
1875-6883
ISSN (Print)
1875-6891
DOI
10.2991/ijcis.2008.1.4.9How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2009, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Gowrishankar
AU  - P.S. Satyanarayana
PY  - 2008
DA  - 2008/12/01
TI  - Neural Network Based Traffic Prediction for Wireless Data Networks
JO  - International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
SP  - 379
EP  - 389
VL  - 1
IS  - 4
SN  - 1875-6883
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ijcis.2008.1.4.9
DO  - 10.2991/ijcis.2008.1.4.9
ID  - 2008
ER  -