Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 37 - 42

Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory

Authors
Fengying Zhang1, Jianhui Kong2, *, Xiaofeng Xie1, ORCID, Kai Xu3, Zongfang Zhou4
1West China School of Nursing/West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China
2Law School, Southwest Minzu University, Chengdu 610041, China
3School of Business, Chengdu University, Chengdu 610106, China1
4School of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China
*

通讯作者:孔建会,研究方向:风险管理。Email: John@swun.edu.cn 作者简介:张凤英,博士,副教授。研究方向:风险管理、护理管理及老年护理。Email: zhangfengying@scu.edu.cn

1

基金项目:四川省科技厅项目(2018ZR0201);国家自然科学基金项目(71871447)

*Corresponding author
Corresponding Author
Jianhui Kong
Received 6 April 2020, Accepted 9 May 2020, Available Online 21 July 2020.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002How to use a DOI?
Keywords
COVID-19, risk assessment, risk occurrence mechanism, risk early warning mechanism, long-term care facilities
Abstract

In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring behavior, cannot achieve management optimization. Matrix analysis the change relation between the conditions for the COVID-19 risk identification and risk behavior. The results show that there are N equilibrium points for the risk management of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities. The complexity of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities and the cognitive deviations caused by the limited rationality of managers and caregivers make the COVID-19, the risk early warning system is not easy to converge to a stable point in the real environment, so as to achieve the best management status of the COVID-19 risk in long-term care facilities. Nursing staff behavior, risk management cost, risk loss and other parameters have different risk management effects for the COVID-19. When the selected parameter is adjusted through the threshold, reflects the stability and selection tendency of the COVID-19 risk management strategy. Promote institutional managers and caregivers to adopt active risk management strategies: Strengthen the awareness of institutional managers and caregivers about the complexity and uncertainty of risks; Optimize the COVID-19 risk management system, process and procedures; Strengthen the research on risk accidents, serious consequences and effective prevention of COVID-19; Strengthen the review and supervision of the risk management of COVID-19 and improve its value perception of the effective prevention of the risk of COVID-19.

Copyright
© 2020 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Journal
Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
Volume-Issue
10 - 2
Pages
37 - 42
Publication Date
2020/07/21
ISSN (Online)
2210-8505
ISSN (Print)
2210-8491
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2020 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press B.V.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Fengying Zhang
AU  - Jianhui Kong
AU  - Xiaofeng Xie
AU  - Kai Xu
AU  - Zongfang Zhou
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/07/21
TI  - Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory
JO  - Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
SP  - 37
EP  - 42
VL  - 10
IS  - 2
SN  - 2210-8505
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002
ID  - Zhang2020
ER  -