Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 2, Issue 2, August 2012

1. Preface

Chongfu Huang
Pages: 79 - 80
Research Article

2. Explanation of Risk and Uncertainty in News Coverage of an Anthrax Attack

Kristen Alley Swain
Pages: 81 - 95
A content analysis of U.S. news coverage of the 2001 anthrax attacks examined explanations of risk and uncertainty. The sample consisted of 833 stories drawn from 272 newspapers, Associated Press, National Public Radio, and four television networks (CBS, NBC, CNN, ABC). Dominant uncertainty factors included...
Research Article

3. Urban Seismomorphoses Seismic Vulnerabilities, an Embarrassing Legacy

Stephane Cartier, Cloe Valette, Hafida Mediene
Pages: 96 - 106
Seismic vulnerability challenges sustainable urbanism. Antioch, Manosque and Oran, three Mediterranean cities destroyed by earthquakes, demonstrate how preservation of urban patrimony protects populations. The methodological pattern “urban seismic patrimonial strategies” cross investment and patrimonial...
Research Article

4. Entity Risk Mechanics

Milik Tichy
Pages: 107 - 114
The actual theory of risk is based on phenomenological approach. However, it seems feasible to start thinking about Entities exposed to hazards in a similar way as about structural systems exposed to loads. Concepts of structural mechanics and structural reliability, common in design of constructed facilities,...
Research Article

5. Risk Analysis Techniques in Construction Engineering Projects

Daniel Baloi
Pages: 115 - 123
There is a great deal of risk analysis techniques and tools available for the management of risks. In principle, each risk analysis technique has its strengths and weaknesses. Techniques such as Probability Theory, Certainty Factors, Dempster-Shaffer Theory of Evidence and Fuzzy Logic are discussed with...
Research Article

6. The Meteorological Disaster Risk Assessment Based on the Diffusion Mechanism

Shujun Guo
Pages: 124 - 130
At present, the study on meteorological disasters risk is mostly for single hazard-affected body. With the economic and social development in recent years, meteorological disaster risk is appearing with more "system" characteristics. Meteorological disasters not only impact on direct hazard-affected...
Research Article

7. A Credit Rating Model for Enterprises Based on Projection Pursuit and K-Means Clustering Algorithm

Mu Zhang, Zongfang Zhou
Pages: 131 - 138
This paper proposes a new credit rating model for enterprises based on the Projection Pursuit and K-means clustering algorithm. Firstly, using Projection Pursuit, the comprehensive credit score of each sample is obtained, so as to reflect the structure or characteristics of original multi-dimensional...
Research Article

8. The Nature Event's Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants with Improvements

Yan Chen, Chunming Zhang, Jianshe Chai
Pages: 139 - 145
Probabilistic risk assessment is the systematic and comprehensive methodology to evaluate the risk of nuclear power plants. Currently some aspects, which are the hazard analysis and fragility evaluation in the probabilistic risk assessment of natural events in nuclear power plants need to be improved....
Research Article

9. A Risk-Benefit Analysis Model for Project Investment Based on the Normal Distribution

Liwen Chen
Pages: 146 - 154
Normal distribution formula is very important to analyze the reciprocity between the random event probability and the events. There exists certain kind of reciprocity between random variable that conforms to normal distribution and its parameter. Solutions to apply normal distribution to the evaluation...