Prediction of the Number of the Infective People By Using SIR Method
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- SIR model, Ebola
We establish the SIR model, in which we define three groups i.e. the Susceptive, the Infective and the Remove. The sum of the proportion of the three groups is 1. The three groups' rate of change can be obtained. We can get the phase path, with the initial rate of the Susceptive—S(t) and the rate of the Infective—I(t). We can get the best touch rate and cure rate by curve fitting. Finally we can get the variation of the number of the Infective,
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TY - CONF AU - Jianrui Xing PY - 2016/09 DA - 2016/09 TI - Prediction of the Number of the Infective People By Using SIR Method BT - Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Advanced Materials and Information Technology Processing (AMITP 2016) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 52 EP - 56 SN - 2352-538X UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/amitp-16.2016.10 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/amitp-16.2016.10 ID - Xing2016/09 ER -