Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 5, Issue 1, April 2015

1. Editor's Introduction

Chongfu Huang, Mu Zhang, Junxiang Zhang
Pages: 1 - 1
Research Article

2. BP’s Reputation Repair Strategies during the Gulf Oil Spill

Kristen Alley Swain, Lindsay A. Jordan
Pages: 2 - 15
On April 20, 2010, British Petroleum’s Deepwater Horizon drilling rig in the Gulf of Mexico exploded, creating the largest oil spill in U.S. history. Analysis of 1,161 BP tweets during the crisis response reflected unexpected reputation repair strategies and responsibility attribution. Situational Crisis...
Research Article

3. Banking Balance Sheet Channel of Systemic Risk

Vincent B.Y. Gan
Pages: 16 - 30
The role of the banking balance sheet as the source and transmitter of systemic risk is explored. We find that the key balance sheet channels of systemic risk are; (i) bank capital structure choice, (ii) interconnectedness and interdependencies among firms, (iii) correlations of asset composition and...
Research Article

4. Non-Diversifiable Risk in Investment Portfolios --- an Aid to Investment Decision Making

Emma Anyika
Pages: 31 - 46
estimators of diversifiable risk and portfolio expected returns to reflect normal market conditions. GARCH (General Auto - Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) models are then used to make forecasts of given time series, from which future predictions of Non - Diversifiable risk, Diversifiable risk...
Research Article

5. Quantum-behaved Particle Swarm Optimization with Nelder-Mead Simplex Search Method

Weiquan Yao
Pages: 47 - 53
This paper proposes a novel hybrid algorithm based on quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization (QPSO) algorithm and Nelder-Mead (NM) simplex search method for continuous optimization problems, abbreviated as QPSO-NM. This hybrid algorithm is very easy to be implemented since it does not require continuity...
Research Article

6. Research on Society Risk Evolution Mechanism and Counter Measures in Severe Emergency Infectious Disease — in the Case of H7N9 Avian Influenza

Xuanhua Xu, Chenguang Cai, Chunhong Wang
Pages: 54 - 65
In this paper, the evolution and control of society risks caused by severe emergency infectious disease will be analyzed and studied. Firstly, the evolution chain of society risks caused by severe emergency infectious disease is constructed to analyze the evolution rule of society risks and identify...
Research Article

7. Research of City Rainstorm Waterlogging Scene Simulation -- in Daoli District of Harbin City as an Example

Peng Chen, Jiquan Zhang, Lingfeng Zhang, Yingyue Sun
Pages: 66 - 72
As global warming urbanization process accelerated, urban waterlogging problem is increasingly serious, has become the research hotspot nowadays. City rainstorm waterlogging scene simulation is one of the important link in the research of the process in which residents shelter when city rainstorm waterlogging...