Are We Heading Towards a Thirsty Planet

DOI

10.2991/ssehr-16.2016.52How to use a DOI?

Keywords

The Systems Dynamics, Intervention

Abstract

Water is the important substantial foundation of social and economic development. In view of its importance, establishing an appropriate model to predict the supply and demand of water in the future is vitally necessary. By analyzing the future situation, we can take some intervention measures as early as possible. Firstly, we build a simulation system model based on the Systems Dynamics (SD).There are two reasonable indicators, including the amount of the primary balance (PB) and the amount of the secondary balance (SB), to reflect the relation between the supply and demand of water. PB reflects the water shortage degree and SB reflects the dependent degree on the water resources in other regions. Based on 48 variables and four subsystems, the SD model can accurately and dynamically simulate the change of the real system. Then, we propose an intervention, it mainly contains two aspects. One is to reduce the exploitation of the groundwater, the other one is to strengthen management and increase the advanced equipment.

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - SHangrun Yao
PY  - 2016/07
DA  - 2016/07
TI  - Are We Heading Towards a Thirsty Planet
BT  - Proceedings of 2016 5th International Conference on Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 248
EP  - 251
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ssehr-16.2016.52
DO  - 10.2991/ssehr-16.2016.52
ID  - Yao2016/07
ER  -