Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Latest Articles


Risk Perception Biases and the Resilience of Ethics for Complying with COVID-19-Pandemic-Related Safety Measures

Bako Rajaonah, Enrico Zio
Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2021, Pages 87-90
This perspective paper presents factors that bias COVID-19-related risk judgments and risk decisions, such as cognitive biases, affect heuristics, mental models of risk and trust. The goal is to gain knowledge about the difficulty of risk communication in inducing attitudinal and behavioral changes regarding...
Research Article

Infection Waves in Pandemics and Risk Prediction: Physical Diffusion Theory and Data Comparisons

Romney B. Duffey
Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2021, Pages 67-74
We predict the magnitude and estimate the uncertainties of the spread, growth and maximum expected long-term infection rates that affect emergency policies and plans. For the COVID-19 and 1918 viral pandemics, large second or successive peaks, waves or plateaux of increased infections occur long after...
Research Article

Food Security Risks of Countries along the Belt and Road in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Chao Zhang, Yanzhao Yang, Zhiming Feng, Tingting Lang, Xiufen Wang, Ying Liu
Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2021, Pages 45-56
The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered concerns about the global food crisis, thus identification of food security risks constitutes an important basis for responding to the influence of the pandemic. In this study, the influence path of the pandemic on food security was analyzed first. Then, the risk nodes...
Research Article

Multi-Scale Climate Change and Its Influencing Factors in Northern Shaanxi during 1960–2020

Si Wen Xue, Zhou Qi
Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2021, Pages 75-85
Based on the observed data of precipitation and air temperature in Northern Shaanxi during 1960–2020, the characteristics of precipitation and air temperature at multiple time scales in Northern Shaanxi were analyzed by using CEEMDAN (Adaptive Complete Set Empirical Model) and back propagation neural...
Research Article

The Response of South Western Railway to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Ross Liddell
Volume 11, Issue 2, June 2021, Pages 57-66
Pandemic crisis management is not something that South Western Railway (SWR) has had to contend with previously. As a result of the introduction of a crisis management approach to the COVID-19 pandemic, the business has been able to continue operating and to continue safely serving the needs of its customers....
Research Article

Research on Information Channel of Climate Change Risk Perception of Shaanxi People

Si Wen Xue, Qi Zhou
Volume 11, Issue 1, April 2021, Pages 36-44
We take Shaanxi Province as the research area, aiming at exploring the information channel or path of climate change risk perception of Shaanxi people. It is desirable for us to carry out information channel or path classification of climate change risk perception based on survey data involving 5493...
Research Article

A Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Risk Response Perception Paths between Northern and Southern Shaanxi

Siwen Xue, Zhou Qi
Volume 11, Issue 1, April 2021, Pages 26-35
The public’s awareness of climate change risks is the basis for their choice of adaptation action. A good understanding of the key factors that affect the public’s perception of climate change risk is critical to climate change risk management. In this paper, a path model was constructed to analyze the...
Research Article

Analysis of Long-term Care Insurance Demand of Megalopolis in China under the Background of Aging of Population—Take Shanghai as an Example†

Guo Jing, Xiaojun Pan, Chengyi Pu
Volume 11, Issue 1, April 2021, Pages 16-25
The development of Long-term Care Insurance (LTCI), which matches that people get old before becoming rich lag behind. The mega-urban agglomeration formed in the metropolitan area under the process of urbanization intensifies the demand for insurance driven by long-term care needs. This paper constructs...
Research Article

Planning the Protection and Digital Construction of Mount Tai Stone Inscriptions

Liang Mingying, Cheng Xuening
Volume 11, Issue 1, April 2021, Pages 10-15
After thousands of years of exposure to the elements, the Mount Tai stone inscriptions have been damaged to varying degrees. As immovable cultural relics, they are inseparable from their surrounding environment, and therefore continue to face numerous risks and safety hazards. Several spatial information...
Research Article

Reconstruction: Key to Social Responsibility Risk Assessment for Tourism Investment Projects†

Chen Lv, Xiaoyan Li
Volume 11, Issue 1, April 2021, Pages 1-9
The strategy of investing large-scale tourism projects abroad has become one of the most important strategies for China to help developing countries to improve their people’s livelihood, provide assistance and practice China’s international responsibility. The proposal and implementation of the Belt...
Research Article

Investigation of the Risk Awareness of Wearing Masks by the Public during COVID-19 According to the Health Belief Questionnaires of Shanxi Province Residents

Hou Ruyi, Duan Tingyu, Sui Chunying, Wu Yibo, Wang Xiujun, Wang Yujie, Sun Yu
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 168-175
When some parts of the world are still debating whether the public wearing masks will help prevent and control the COVID-19. We have used questionnaires to investigate the wearing of masks and its influencing factors among residents in 11 cities in Shanxi Province. The questionnaire was designed based...
Review Article

Risk Forecasting in the Light of Big Data

Roman Kernchen
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 160-167
Life in modern society is increasingly connected by networks that link the world around us and create numerous exciting opportunities, new services and advantages for humanity. Yet concurrently, these underpinning networks have provided routes by which potentially dangerous and harmful incidents can...
Research Article

Research on the Management Capability Measurement of GEM Listed Companies based on DEA Tobit Model

Feng Xia, Zhang Mu
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 138-146
With the rise of the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM), more and more investors have begun to pay attention to it and begin to consider investing in related listed companies. Therefore, the healthy and stable development of the GEM is of great significance to investors. The management of the company is...
Research Article

Evaluation of Climate Change Risk Perception in Baoji City Based on AHP-Bayesian Network

Siwen Xue, Qi Zhou, Shuo lin Geng
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 147-159
To analyze the gap between the Baoji population’s climate change risk perception and the scientifically measured intensity, danger degree, vulnerability, and exposure of climate change risk based on the basic elements of risk assessment, this paper combines analytic hierarchy process and the Bayesian...
Research Article

Influencing Factors of Equity Financing Efficiency of the Listed Companies in Strategic Emerging Industry Based on Baidu Index

Zhi-yuan Lü, Mu Zhang
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 130-137
In order to further improve the equity financing efficiency of listed companies in strategic emerging industries, this paper selects relevant data of 208 listed companies in strategic emerging industries from 2014 to 2018, and calculates the changes in scale efficiency, pure technical efficiency and...
Research Article

Equity Financing Efficiency Measurement of Listed Companies in Strategic Emerging Industries based on DEA

Si-si Li, Mu Zhang
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 101-112
Equity financing is an important part of corporate capital structure decision-making. The level of financing efficiency is of great significance to the survival and development of Listed Companies in strategic emerging industries. In order to measure the equity financing efficiency of Listed Companies...
Research Article

Anchor-based Goals and Personality Effects on Hazard Identification in Risk Assessment

Piers Fleming, Harry England
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 113-118
Hazard identification is a crucial first step in risk assessment. There are many cases in which hazard identification is carried out by non-experts. One concern is that valid hazards are overlooked and so not considered for mitigation or prevention. This study examined whether a goal-setting anchor could...
Research Article

Five Supplementary Therapies for COVID-19

Li-Yuan Liu
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 97-100
The COVID-19 is characteristic of both damage of the respiratory system and the immune system or both similarities of SARS and AIDS. These features decide difficulty of specific treatment. The worldwide transmission and higher fatality rate call for new skills for prevention and treatment. Here, we recommend...
Research Article

Game Theoretic Strategies for Supplier Capability Assessment and Manufacturing Order Allocation

Cheng-Kuang Wu, Yu-Min Chuang
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 121-129
An effective method is required to determine the amount and priority for the deployment of suppliers for multiple manufacturing processes, particularly when the available budget for each manufacturing process is limited. In this study, we propose an integrated approach for supplier assessment that consists...
Research Article

Multi-hazard Awareness, Risk Perception and Fear to Earthquakes: The Case of High-school Students in Mexico City

Jaime Santos-Reyes
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 91-96
A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2015 for the case of students at a high school in Mexico City; the sample size was N = 302. The aim of the study was to assess the level of hazard awareness, risk perception, and the negative emotion related to fear during earthquakes. Some of the main findings...
Research Article

Research on Public Health Security Risk Management and Emergency Response Measures under Climate Change

Xing Kaicheng, Li Hongyu, Ma Guihong, Jing Yuanyuan, Yang Ming, Huang Dapeng
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 82-90
Climate change, characterized by global warming, has a wider and deeper impact on society, economy and life. Climate change is an important cause of human health and the spread of infectious diseases. The explosiveness and uncertainty of the epidemic of infectious diseases pose a huge threat to human...
Research Article

Patterns of Fatal Explosion Accidents in China

Lei Pang, Zhiwen Zhang, Kai Yang, Pengfei Lv, Siheng Sun
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 54-63
Explosion accidents usually lead to serious fatality and disability. To investigate the patterns of Fatal Explosion Accidents (FEA), a database containing 1835 FEA that happened in China during 2001–2018 was built. Statistical analysis was made based on the year, month, time interval of day, day of week,...

Introduction for Volume 10, Issue 2

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages i-i
Research Article

Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory

Fengying Zhang, Jianhui Kong, Xiaofeng Xie, Kai Xu, Zongfang Zhou
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 37-42
In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring...